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Bad News Wrapped in Protein: Inside the Coronavirus Genome

Bad News Wrapped in Protein: Inside the Coronavirus Genome


Source: NYT

I previously worked out the worst case scenario for mortality from COVID-19 based on the mortality numbers and some conservastive assumptions about the number of people carrying the virus without symptoms (http://pandemica.info/making-sense-of-the-covid-19-numbers/). The worst case scenario was based on the extreme assumption that all patients that will require ventilation will die because of lack of equipment. I now apply those figures to the UK population based on the 2018 age distribution (https://www.statista.com/statistics/281174/uk-population-by-age/).

For each age range I applied the worst case scenario to the percentage of the population in that age range. These are the numbers:

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